After an overextended awards season (lasting 145 days, to be exact!), there’s only one award show left, the 93rd Oscars. To celebrate the occasion, I would like to present my final predictions for the 93rd Oscars. In the subsequent article, I will go over what I think will win based on data from other awards shows this year, past Oscar wins, and also provide what I think should win, provided it’s not the film I predicted to win.
Actor in a leading role
Image courtesy of Netflix
Nominees
- Riz Ahmed, Sound of Metal
- Chadwick Boseman, Ma Rainey's Black Bottom
- Anthony Hopkins, The Father
- Gary Oldman, Mank
- Steven Yeun, Minari
Who should win: Riz Ahmed, Sound of Metal
Who will win: Chadwick Boseman, Ma Rainey's Black Bottom
Actor in a supporting role
Nominees
- Sacha Baron Cohen, The Trial of the Chicago 7
- Daniel Kaluuya, Judas and the Black Messiah
- Leslie Odom Jr., One Night in Miami
- Paul Raci, Sound of Metal
- Lakeith Stanfield, Judas and the Black Messiah
Who should win: Daniel Kaluuya
Who will win: Paul Raci
Actress in a leading role
Nominees
- Viola Davis, Ma Rainey's Black Bottom
- Andra Day, The United States vs. Billie Holiday
- Vanessa Kirby, Pieces of a Woman
- Frances McDormand, Nomadland
- Carey Mulligan, Promising Young Woman
Who should win: Carey Mulligan
Who will win: Carey Mulligan
Actress in a supporting role
Nominees
- Maria Bakalova, Borat Subsequent Moviefilm
- Glenn Close, Hillbilly Elegy
- Olivia Colman, The Father
- Amanda Seyfried, Mank
- Yuh-Jung Youn, Minari
Who should win: Yuh-jung Youn, Minari
Who will win: Yuh-jung Youn, Minari
Animated feature film
Nominees
- Onward, Dan Scanlon and Kori Rae
- Over the Moon, Glen Keane, Gennie Rim and Peilin Chou
- A Shaun the Sheep Movie: Farmageddon, Richard Phelan, Will Becher, and Paul Kewley
- Soul, Pete Docter and Dana Murray
- Wolfwalkers, Tomm Moore, Ross Stewart, Paul Young and Stéphan Roelants
Who should win: Wolfwalkers - Tomm Moore, Ross Stewart, Paul Young and Stéphan Roelants
Who will win: Soul - Pete Docter and Dana Murray
Cinematography
Nominees
- Judas and the Black Messiah - Sean Bobbitt
- Mank - Erik Messerschmidt
- News of the World - Dariusz Wolski
- Nomadland - Joshua James Richards
- The Trial of the Chicago 7 - Phedon Papamichael
Who should win: Nomadland- Joshua James Richards
Who will win: Judas and the Black Messiah - Sean Bobbitt
Costume Design
Image courtesy of Netflix
Nominees
- Emma. - Alexandra Byrne
- Ma Rainey's Black Bottom - Ann Roth
- Mank - Trish Summerville
- Mulan - Bina Daigeler
- Pinocchio - Massimo Cantini Parrini
Who should win: Ma Rainey's Black Bottom - Ann Roth
Who will win: Ma Rainey's Black Bottom - Ann Roth
Directing
Nominees
- Another Round - Thomas Vinterberg
- Mank - David Fincher
- Minari - Lee Isaac Chung
- Nomadland - Chloé Zhao
- Promising Young Woman - Emerald Fennell
Who should win: Promising Young Woman - Emerald Fennell
Who will win: Another Round - Thomas Vinterberg
Documentary (Feature)
Nominees
- Collective - Alexander Nanau and Bianca Oana
- Crip Camp - Nicole Newnham, Jim LeBrecht and Sara Bolder
- The Mole Agent - Maite Alberdi and Marcela Santibáñez
- My Octopus Teacher - Pippa Ehrlich, James Reed, and Craig Foster
- Time - Garrett Bradley, Lauren Domino, and Kellen Quinn
Who should win: Collective - Alexander Nanau and Bianca Oana
Who will win: Time - Garrett Bradley, Lauren Domino, and Kellen Quinn
Documentary (Short Subject)
Nominees
- Collette - Anthony Giacchino and Alice Doyard
- A Concerto Is a Conversation - Ben Proudfoot and Kris Bowers
- Do Not Split - Anders Hammer and Charlotte Cook
- Hunger Ward - Skye Fitzgerald and Michael Scheuerman
- A Love Song for Latasha - Sophia Nahli Allison and Janice Duncan
Who should win: A Concerto Is a Conversation - Ben Proudfoot and Kris Bowers
Who will win: A Love Song for Latasha - Sophia Nahli Allison and Janice Duncan
Film Editing
Nominees
- The Father - Yorgos Lamprinos
- Nomadland - Chloé Zhao
- Promising Young Woman - Frédéric Thoraval
- Sound of Metal - Mikkel E. G. Nielsen
- The Trial of the Chicago 7 - Alan Baumgarten
Who should win: The Father - Yorgos Lamprinos
Who will win: Nomadland - Chloé Zhao
International Feature Film
Nominees
- Another Round - Denmark
- Better Days - Hong Kong
- Collective - Romania
- The Man Who Sold His Skin - Tunisia
- Quo Vadis, Aida? - Bosnia and Herzegovina
Who should win: Another Round - Denmark
Who will win: Another Round - Denmark
Makeup and Hairstyling
Image courtesy of Netflix
Nominees
- Emma. - Marese Langan, Laura Allen and Claudia Stolze
- Hillbilly Elegy - Eryn Krueger Mekash, Matthew Mungle, and Patricia Dehaney
- Ma Rainey's Black Bottom - Sergio Lopez-Rivera, Mia Neal, and Jamika Wilson
- Mank - Gigi Williams, Kimberley Spiteri, and Colleen LaBaff
- Pinocchio - Mark Coulier, Dalia Colli and Francesco Pegoretti
Who should win: Ma Rainey's Black Bottom - Sergio Lopez-Rivera, Mia Neal, and Jamika Wilson
Who will win: Ma Rainey's Black Bottom - Sergio Lopez-Rivera, Mia Neal, and Jamika Wilson
Music (Original Score)
Nominees
- Da 5 Bloods - Terence Blanchard
- Mank - Trent Reznor and Atticus Ross
- Minari - Emile Mosseri
- News of the World - James Newton Howard
- Soul - Trent Reznor, Atticus Ross and Jon Batiste
Who should win: Minari - Emile Mosseri
Who will win: Soul - Trent Reznor, Atticus Ross and Jon Batiste
Music (Original Song)
Nominees
- "Fight for You" from Judas and the Black Messiah; Music by H.E.R. and Dernst Emile II; Lyric by H.E.R. and Tiara Thomas
- "Hear My Voice" from The Trial of the Chicago 7; Music by Daniel Pemberton; Lyric by Daniel Pemberton and Celeste Waite
- "Húsavík" from Eurovision Song Contest: The Story of Fire Saga; Music and Lyric by Savan Kotecha, Fat Max Gsus, and Rickard Göransson
- “Io Si (Seen)” from The Life Ahead (Italian: La vita davanti a sé) ; Music by Diane Warren; Lyric by Diane Warren and Laura Pausini
- "Speak Now" from One Night in Miami...; Music and Lyric by Leslie Odom, Jr. and Sam Ashworth
Who should win: "Speak Now" from One Night in Miami...; Music and Lyric by Leslie Odom, Jr. and Sam Ashworth
Who will win: "Speak Now" from One Night in Miami...; Music and Lyric by Leslie Odom, Jr. and Sam Ashworth
Best Picture
Nominees
- The Father - David Parfitt, Jean-Louis Livi, and Philippe Carcassonne, Producers
- Judas and the Black Messiah - Shaka King, Charles D. King, and Ryan Coogler, Producers
- Mank - Ceán Chaffin, Eric Roth, and Douglas Urbanski, Producers
- Minari - Christina Oh, Producer
- Nomadland - Frances McDormand, Peter Spears, Mollye Asher, Dan Janvey, and Chloé Zhao, Producers
- Promising Young Woman - Ben Browning, Ashley Fox, Emerald Fennell, and Josey McNamara, Producers
- Sound of Metal - Bert Hamelinck and Sacha Ben Harroche, Producers
- The Trial of the Chicago 7 - Marc Platt and Stuart Besser, Producers
Who should win: Promising Young Woman - Ben Browning, Ashley Fox, Emerald Fennell, and Josey McNamara, Producers
Who will win: Nomadland - Frances McDormand, Peter Spears, Mollye Asher, Dan Janvey, and Chloé Zhao, Producers
Production Design
Nominees
- The Father - Production Design: Peter Francis; Set Decoration: Cathy Featherstone
- Ma Rainey's Black Bottom - Production Design: Mark Ricker; Set Decoration: Karen O'Hara and Diana Stoughton
- Mank - Production Design: Donald Graham Burt; Set Decoration: Jan Pascale
- News of the World - Production Design: David Crank; Set Decoration: Elizabeth Keenan
- Tenet - Production Design: Nathan Crowley; Set Decoration: Kathy Lucas
Who should win: The Father - Production Design: Peter Francis; Set Decoration: Cathy Featherstone
Who will win: Mank - Production Design: Donald Graham Burt; Set Decoration: Jan Pascale
Short Film (Animated)
Nominees
- Burrow - Madeline Sharafian and Michael Capbarat
- Genius Loci - Adrien Mérigeau and Amaury Ovise
- If Anything Happens I Love You - Will McCormack and Michael Govier
- Opera - Erick Oh
- Yes-People - Gísli Darri Halldórsson and Arnar Gunnarsson
Who should win: If Anything Happens I Love You - Will McCormack and Michael Govier
Who will win: If Anything Happens I Love You - Will McCormack and Michael Govier
Short Film (Live Action)
Nominees
- Feeling Through - Doug Roland and Susan Ruzenski
- The Letter Room - Elvira Lind and Sofia Sondervan
- The Present - Farah Nabulsi and Ossama Bawardi
- Two Distant Strangers - Travon Free and Martin Desmond Roe
- White Eye - Tomer Shushan and Shira Hochman
Who should win: The Letter Room - Elvira Lind and Sofia Sondervan
Who will win: The Letter Room - Elvira Lind and Sofia Sondervan
Sound
Nominees
- Greyhound - Warren Shaw, Michael Minkler, Beau Borders, and David Wyman
- Mank - Ren Klyce, Jeremy Molod, David Parker, Nathan Nance, and Drew Kunin
- News of the World - Oliver Tarney, Mike Prestwood Smith, William Miller, and John Pritchett
- Soul - Ren Klyce, Coya Elliott, and David Parker
- Sound of Metal - Nicolas Becker, Jaime Baksht, Michellee Couttolenc, Carlos Cortés and Phillip Bladh
Who should win: Sound of Metal - Nicolas Becker, Jaime Baksht, Michellee Couttolenc, Carlos Cortés and Phillip Bladh
Who will win: Sound of Metal - Nicolas Becker, Jaime Baksht, Michellee Couttolenc, Carlos Cortés and Phillip Bladh
Visual Effects
Nominees
- Love and Monsters - Matt Sloan, Genevieve Camilleri, Matt Everitt, and Brian Cox
- The Midnight Sky - Matthew Kasmir, Christopher Lawrence, Max Solomon, and David Watkins
- Mulan - Sean Faden, Anders Langlands, Seth Maury, and Steve Ingram
- The One and Only Ivan - Nick Davis, Greg Fisher, Ben Jones, and Santiago Colomo Martinez
- Tenet - Andrew Jackson, David Lee, Andrew Lockley, and Scott Fisher
Who should win: Tenet - Andrew Jackson, David Lee, Andrew Lockley, and Scott Fisher
Who will win: Tenet - Andrew Jackson, David Lee, Andrew Lockley, and Scott Fisher
Writing (Adapted Screenplay)
Nominees
- Borat Subsequent Moviefilm - Screenplay by Sacha Baron Cohen & Anthony Hines & Dan Swimer & Peter Baynham & Erica Rivinoja & Dan Mazer & Jena Friedman & Lee Kern; Story by Sacha Baron Cohen & Anthony Hines & Dan Swimer & Nina Pedrad
- The Father - Screenplay by Christopher Hampton and Florian Zeller
- Nomadland - Written for the screen by Chloé Zhao
- One Night in Miami... - Screenplay by Kemp Powers
- The White Tiger - Written for the screen by Ramin Bahrani
Who should win: One Night in Miami… - Screenplay by Kemp Powers
Who will win: Nomadland - Written for the screen by Chloé Zhao
Writing (Original Screenplay)
Nominees
- Judas and the Black Messiah - Screenplay by Will Berson & Shaka King; Story by Will Berson & Shaka King and Kenny Lucas & Keith Lucas
- Minari - Written by Lee Isaac Chung
- Promising Young Woman - Written by Emerald Fennell
- Sound of Metal - Screenplay by Darius Marder & Abraham Marder; Story by Darius Marder & Derek Cianfrance
- The Trial of the Chicago 7 - Written by Aaron Sorkin
Who should win: Promising Young Woman - Written by Emerald Fennell
Who will win: Promising Young Woman - Written by Emerald Fennell
The 93rd Oscars air live on Sunday, April 25 at 8 p.m. ET/5 p.m. PT on ABC. Until then, keep coming back to read reviews of the nominees and other Oscar coverage.
Thanks to Thomas Stoneham-Judge from Movies For Reel for supporting Austin B Media on Patreon!
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